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Strategy Research · 19 Rounds
Backtesting History
Systematic backtesting across ASX, NASDAQ, FTSE, DAX, and Forex markets. Source files live in research/. Live trial data accumulates in the SQLite ledger (see Live Monitor → Strategy Results).
Timeframe Comparison 5-MIN vs 1-DAY · 60 days · all 5 strategies
Deployed ConfigACTIVE
PatternVWAP C1 HoldH12 (R16/R21) RSI gate≤52 long / ≥48 short UniverseASX Top 50 Sectorexcl-Financials ATR filter<1.5× 20d avg Risk/trade1–3% of balance Cap$2k/month
Validated Results5yr · H10 · R13–16
Monthly WR55% (32/58 mo) Trade WR47% Profit Factor1.17 Ann. P&L~$6.8k / yr Worst year2022 (−$3.9k) Best year2025 (+$16.4k)
⚠ 2yr figures overstate the edge ~3×. Use the 5yr as the honest benchmark.
Round 16 — H10 Upgrade
VWAP H10: 32/58 mo, PF=1.17, $33,862 (+4mo, +$10k vs H8)
VWAP H12: 31/58 mo, PF=1.19, $37,306 (+3mo, +$13k vs H8)
Why: H8 exits too early in trending markets. H12 turned 2022 from −$12k to −$225.
Round 15 — Monte Carlo
Edge is in trade magnitude (PF>1), not monthly win frequency.
Monthly WR of 48–57% is statistically indistinguishable from a coin flip (binomial p=0.65).
Expect roughly equal positive/negative months — winners must be larger than losers.
Round 17 — NASDAQ Expansion
ASX H10 + NASDAQ H8: 34/58 mo, PF=1.76, $54k/5yr
Requires IBKR US account ($1+0.02% costs).
FTSE30 (PF=0.82) and DAX40 (PF=1.05) ruled out — only NASDAQ viable.
Rounds 18–19 — Forex OOS Validated
STOCH H8 on NZDUSD · USDCHF · GBPUSD · EURGBP · AUDUSD
OOS walk-forward (R19): PF=2.07, $10.1k/3yr
AUDUSD+USDCHF stable in all 4 windows. JPY pairs + USDCAD + EURUSD excluded permanently.
Combined Target — 3 Markets
ASX H10
$6.8k
per year
NASDAQ H8
$9.5k
per year
Forex MR-5
$3.3k
per year
Combined
$19.6k
per year
Ruled Out (Rounds 9–19)
Trailing stops · XJO regime filters · Prior-month adaptors · Intra-month pivots · Inverse MR · Post-process regime sizing · ASX100 expansion · 10-day proximity filter · FTSE30 · DAX40 · H12 NASDAQ · VWAP on forex (volume=0) · JPY pairs · USDCAD · EURUSD
Leaderboard
Combo Optimizer
Market Heatmap
— results
#TickerSectorBest Pattern Win Rate Frac W/LProfit Factor Pseudo-Sharpe ⓘ Total PnLTradesMax DD
Run Scanner
Select your universe and click SCAN ALL STOCKS
Avg Win Rate by Sector
Avg Profit Factor by Sector
Best Pattern by Sector
Trade Volume Distribution
Strategy Dashboard TEST v1
not loaded
Start Test Strategies v1 to populate
Shared session · Trades tagged per strategy · SQLite ledger persists across restarts · Auto-refreshes every scan cycle
ⓘ Data source is end-of-day / delayed OHLCV bars (Yahoo Finance), refreshed on each poll — not a real-time tick feed. Signal "entry" prices are the open of the bar following the signal, which is only an observable price once that bar has printed; until then a trade shows as CURRENT TRADE in the feed. A trade only flips to WIN/LOSS once price actually touches its stop or target on a later bar, or its hold window expires — ASX H12 (R16/R21), US H8 (R17), JACOB 96 bars.
Monitor Status
OFFLINE
Scanners
5M · —
1D · —
MODE
LIVE
REPLAY
⚡ IG
Session Duration
Signals Fired
0
Paper Trades
0
Open Positions
0
Last Poll
Poll Interval
30s
1m
5m
15m
REPLAY PROGRESS0%
Session Win Rate
Profit Factor
Session P&L *
Expectancy / Trade
Win Streak
Watchlist
0 tickers
▶▶ TEST STRATEGIES v1 — 30-DAY PARALLEL TRIAL
Runs all 5 strategies simultaneously. Every signal is tagged by strategy and recorded in the persistent ledger. After 30 days, compare in the Strategy Results panel below.
■ ASX Edge · VWAP MR · ASX50
■ Focused Core · 8 tickers
■ Trending Tech · EMA PB
■ Global Sweep · ASX+US
■ US Defensive MR · KO/PG/SO/VZ/MRK/JNJ/PEP/MMM
INDIVIDUAL PRESETS
Market now: CLOSED ASX 10–16 · US 23:30–5:30 AEST · multi-market = no swap
Scanning the full ASX 200 means ~200 data fetches per poll — use a 5m or 15m poll interval to avoid rate limits and slow polls.
No tickers yet
Active Patterns
Execution Settings
Research — 19 rounds of backtesting (ASX, NASDAQ, Forex) live in the Research tab. Strategy trial data accumulates in the SQLite ledger and is visible in the Strategy Results panel below.
Live Chart Start the monitor to watch live
Session Equity CurveNo trades yet
Signal & Trade Feed
0 EVENTS
TimeTickerPattern SignalEntryExit P&LResult
Start monitor to see live signals
Backend Required for Live Data
Live monitor polls GET http://localhost:8000/live/scan?tickers=BHP,CBA&patterns=VWAP,RSI&period=1y every 30s. Make sure uvicorn main:app --reload is running. The backend returns fresh signals; paper trade P&L is calculated client-side and held for the session. Add GET /live/scan to main.py — see README for the route signature.